Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.453599 0.501725 0.553481 0.613388 0.680957 0.754967 0.842378
2025-06-22 0.369347 0.434351 0.509409 0.602947 0.717032 0.852466 1.026616
2025-06-29 0.322258 0.394506 0.481944 0.596461 0.743817 0.928847 1.181616
2025-07-06 0.280187 0.353728 0.446016 0.571668 0.740345 0.961897 1.279841
2025-07-13 0.259858 0.337257 0.437620 0.579187 0.776795 1.047470 1.454420
2025-07-20 0.242960 0.323082 0.430020 0.585697 0.810772 1.131066 1.633718
2025-07-27 0.228724 0.310876 0.423423 0.592046 0.843843 1.215088 1.821649
2025-08-03 0.215388 0.298576 0.415268 0.594746 0.870830 1.291486 2.005229
2025-08-10 0.204550 0.288817 0.409671 0.600204 0.901688 1.375754 2.210094
2025-08-17 0.189908 0.272353 0.392836 0.586844 0.901376 1.409663 2.333340
2025-08-24 0.182005 0.265276 0.389374 0.593680 0.933511 1.498865 2.562151
2025-08-31 0.172390 0.254894 0.380008 0.590114 0.947754 1.558616 2.744184
2025-09-07 0.165256 0.248034 0.375877 0.595098 0.977493 1.649266 2.997947
2025-09-14 0.155604 0.236623 0.363764 0.585825 0.981657 1.694686 3.170451
2025-09-21 0.147437 0.227047 0.353921 0.579505 0.990212 1.748484 3.365958
2025-09-28 0.136521 0.212371 0.334761 0.555528 0.964416 1.734647 3.418864
2025-10-05 0.132353 0.208532 0.333399 0.562802 0.997105 1.836633 3.732349
2025-10-12 0.128301 0.204627 0.331628 0.569098 1.028310 1.938603 4.060007
2025-10-19 0.124497 0.200902 0.329892 0.575238 1.059592 2.043718 4.409943
2025-10-26 0.120367 0.196374 0.326445 0.577849 1.083944 2.136642 4.744602
2025-11-02 0.116919 0.192832 0.324507 0.583127 1.114058 2.244906 5.133196
2025-11-09 0.110970 0.184574 0.313595 0.570207 1.105203 2.266271 5.304661
2025-11-16 0.108218 0.181870 0.312651 0.576818 1.138174 2.385178 5.749273